Modelling is the simulation of a partial representation of a system. It can help us answer questions that no single empirical study can answer.

Modelling enables us to estimate longer term and population wide health benefits, harms, and trade-offs of interventions, integrate evidence from different domains, test the potential for behaviour change through hypothetical ‘what if’ scenarios, and address issues of cost and cost-effectiveness. Modelling can also be used to investigate how health related practices might change in complex systems.

Modelling studies can be cheaper and quicker than real world studies and do not require the intervention to actually be implemented. They can therefore support getting the best value from intervention studies and natural experiments.

In public health modelling at the MRC Epidemiology Unit we combine evidence from many different primary studies plus insights from experts and other stakeholders. Simulation of  models containing uncertainty can be used to indicate where the gaps in our knowledge are most critical for decision making.

Programme lead: Dr James Woodcock

If you are interested in doing a summer project, short term collaboration, or longer term a PhD ora post-doctoral position with the group please get in touch.

We are particularly interested in applicants with the following skills/ to collaborate on the following topics:

• Computer vision applied to travel and traffic
• Health impact modelling
• Traffic injury simulation and analysis
• GIS and developing measures of the built enviornment
• Travel behaviours and data in lower and middle income countries

Group members

• Dr Ali Abbas
• Dr Lambed Tatah
• Dr Rahul Goel
• SM Labib
• Dr Rohit Sharma
• Kyriaki (Kelly) Kokka
• Corin Staves
• Luca Martial (visitor)

Other CEDAR regular collaborators

• Dr Oli Mytton

Current and recent visitors

• Dr Sohail Ahmad
• Dr Thiago Hérick de Sá
• Dr Anna Goodman
• Dr Belen Zapata Diomedi

Former members

• Dr Leandro Garcia
• Dr Rob Johnson (based at the MRC BioStatistics Unit with Dr Chris Jackson)
• Dr Marko Tainio
• Dr Philipp Giabbanelli
• Dr Arno Steinacher

Group Studies, Models, Tools, and Projects

Includes: